Passionate about severe weather?

So are we! That's why we created Armchair Forecaster, a severe weather forecasting platform that let's you create and verify your own tornado, hail, and wind forecasts. Watch your skills improve throughout the year or compete in our spring forecast contest, the forecast is yours!

Start Forecasting!

Spring 2025 Contest Winners

Elon_Forked_my_Forecast

If_You_Feel_It_Chase_It

Elon_Forked_my_Forecast

Elon_Forked_my_Forecast

Check Current Standings

What's New?

7/21/25: Announcement: Web Page Updates

Beginning in late July through Fall 2025, several planned changes will be implemented on the site, including updates to the homepage and several forecast tools, scoring metric refinement, and implementing suggested changes that emerged from the spring's forecast contest. Stay tuned for future updates!

6/1/25: Announcement: It's Over! The spring 2025 forecast contest is complete

The spring 2025 forecast contest has come to a close, thank you to all who participated! Despite some last-minute challengers, Elon_Forked_my_Forecast made a strong finish to the forecast contest, come out on top, and received our 2025 winner's mug. Find all the jersey winners and a review of the contest here.

3/13/25: Forecast Journal: March 14, 2025

Friday March 14, 2025 is shaping up to be a big severe weather day across the country. Instead of writing out a forecast discussion, we recorded one instead! Watch the recording here..

3/13/25: Announcement: Update to the false alarm penalty

An unforeseen bias in the false alarm penalty function became apparent after forecasts made on 3/12/25. This bias has been corrected effective 3/13/25. Read more here.